An electrifying atmosphere is expected at Stadio Olimpico on Sunday evening as AS Roma face off against Inter in a highly anticipated Serie A derby. Roma, coming off a 1-1 draw with Monza before the international break, have dropped to 9th in the standings but remain strong at home with recent victories over Udinese (3-0) and Venezia (2-1). With summer signing Mats Hummels back in contention, Roma will be looking to reclaim momentum despite the absences of key players like Paulo Dybala, Stephan El Shaarawy, and Alexis Saelemaekers due to injuries.
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On the other side, the reigning champions Inter are determined to continue their pursuit of top spot after back-to-back wins over Udinese and Torino. With a three-game winning streak against Roma at Stadio Olimpico, Inter will be aiming to extend their dominance and move closer to overtaking Napoli at the top of the table. With Denzel Dumfries pushing for a starting role and no fresh injury concerns, Inter will be confident heading into this crucial clash. The match will kick off at 19:45 on October 20, 2024.
Roma vs Inter: Important H2H Stats
As AS Roma prepare to face Inter at Stadio Olimpico, here are the key head-to-head (H2H) stats and performance insights that could shape this highly anticipated Serie A encounter:
- Recent H2H Encounter: The last time these two sides met was on February 10, 2024, when Inter secured a 4-2 victory at Stadio Olimpico. Inter will be looking to maintain their dominance, having won the last three matches at Roma’s home ground.
- Current League Position: Inter are currently in 2nd position in Serie A, fighting for the top spot, while Roma find themselves in 9th place, hoping to climb back into European contention.
- Key Players:
- Roma: Lorenzo Pellegrini has been Roma’s top creator this season, leading the team with 1 assist. His playmaking will be crucial if Roma are to break through Inter’s defense.
- Inter: Marcus Thuram has been Inter’s most dangerous attacking player, scoring 7 goals so far this season. Roma’s defense will need to be extra vigilant in containing his threat.
- Disciplinary Concerns:
- Roma: Bryan Cristante has the worst disciplinary record for Roma, accumulating 2 yellow cards this season. His aggressive play could become a factor in a heated contest.
- Inter: Henrikh Mkhitaryan also has 2 yellow cards, meaning his discipline will need to be managed, especially in a competitive match like this.
- Scoring and Conceding Patterns:
- Roma: The Giallorossi are most dangerous between the 60-75 minute window, scoring 37.5% of their goals during this period.
- Inter: Inter are most vulnerable in the early stages of games, having conceded 25% of their goals between 0-15 minutes. Roma may look to strike early to capitalize on this.
- Possession and Corners:
- Possession Stats: Both teams are strong in possession, with Roma averaging 61.14% and Inter slightly ahead with 62.71%, suggesting this could be a battle for control in midfield.
- Corners: Inter generate more set-piece opportunities, averaging 6.86 corners per match, compared to Roma’s 4.43 corners per game.
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Stats: Roma have seen BTTS in 57.14% of their matches this season, while Inter have seen BTTS in 71.43% of their games, suggesting a good chance that both teams will find the net in this clash.
These H2H stats highlight key areas of strength and vulnerability for both teams, with Roma’s scoring potential in the second half and Inter’s vulnerability in the opening minutes offering key tactical insights for this intense Serie A derby.
Roma Vs Inter Season Stats
| Performance Summary | Roma | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| Total Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Home Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Away Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Total Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Home Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Away Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Total Lost | 1 | 1 |
| Home Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Away Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Total Goals For | 8 | 16 |
| Home Goals For | 6 | 10 |
| Away Goals For | 2 | 6 |
| Total Goals Against | 5 | 9 |
| Home Goals Against | 3 | 4 |
| Away Goals Against | 2 | 5 |
| Total Clean Sheet | 3 | 2 |
| Home Clean Sheet | 1 | 2 |
| Away Clean Sheet | 2 | 0 |
| Total Failed To Score | 2 | 0 |
| Home Failed To Score | 0 | 0 |
| Away Failed To Score | 2 | 0 |
| Total Av Goals Scored | 1.14 | 2.29 |
| Home Av Goals Scored | 2 | 2.5 |
| Away Av Goals Scored | 0.5 | 2 |
| Total Av Goals Conceded | 0.71 | 1.29 |
| Home Av Goals Conceded | 1 | 1 |
| Away Av Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1.67 |
| Total 1st Goal Scored | 54m | 27m |
| Home 1st Goal Scored | 58m | 17m |
| Away 1st Goal Scored | 49m | 40m |
| Total 1st Goal Conceded | 62m | 36m |
| Home 1st Goal Conceded | 80m | 45m |
| Away 1st Goal Conceded | 45m | 23m |
| Goals Scoring Minutes | Roma | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| 0-15 | 0 (0%) | 4 (25%) |
| 15-30 | 1 (12.5%) | 3 (18.8%) |
| 30-45 | 1 (12.5%) | 2 (12.5%) |
| 45-60 | 1 (12.5%) | 4 (25%) |
| 60-75 | 3 (37.5%) | 1 (6.3%) |
| 75-90 | 2 (25%) | 2 (12.5%) |
| Goals Conceded Minutes | Roma | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| 0-15 | 0 (0%) | 1 (11.1%) |
| 15-30 | 0 (0%) | 1 (11.1%) |
| 30-45 | 2 (40%) | 2 (22.2%) |
| 45-60 | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
| 60-75 | 2 (40%) | 0 (0%) |
| 75-90 | 1 (20%) | 5 (55.6%) |
| Combined Match Stats | Roma | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| Attacks | 804 | 705 |
| Dangerous Attacks | 388 | 377 |
| Av Possession Percent | 61.14 | 62.71 |
| Fouls | 77 | 75 |
| Av Fouls Per Game | 11.00 | 10.71 |
| Offside | 10 | 24 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards | 9 | 9 |
| Shots Blocked | 34 | 24 |
| Shots Off Target | 52 | 57 |
| Av Shots Off Target | 7.43 | 8.14 |
| Shots On Target | 34 | 36 |
| Av Shots On Target | 4.86 | 5.14 |
| Total Corners | 31 | 48 |
| Av Corners | 4.43 | 6.86 |
| BTTS | 57.14 | 71.43 |
| Av Player Rating Per Match | 6.79 | 7.01 |
| Tackles | 94 | 98 |
| Total Match Goals Percentages | Roma | Inter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Away | Home | Away | |
| Over 0.5 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 100 |
| Over 1.5 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 100 |
| Over 2.5 | 100 | 0 | 75 | 66.67 |
| Over 3.5 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 66.67 |
| Over 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 33.33 |
| Over 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Under 0.5 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| Under 1.5 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| Under 2.5 | 0 | 100 | 25 | 33.33 |
| Under 3.5 | 100 | 100 | 50 | 33.33 |
| Under 4.5 | 100 | 100 | 75 | 66.67 |
| Under 5.5 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Roma vs Inter Prediction
Based on current form and key stats, Inter head into this clash as the favorites. Their recent dominance at Stadio Olimpico, with a three-game winning streak against Roma at this venue, gives them a psychological edge. Marcus Thuram, with 7 goals this season, will be crucial in Inter’s attack, and with Roma missing key players like Paulo Dybala, Inter could have the upper hand offensively.
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Roma, however, remain strong at home and have shown they can rally in the second half, scoring 37.5% of their goals between the 60-75 minute mark. With Lorenzo Pellegrini as the creative force, Roma can trouble Inter, especially if they exploit Inter’s vulnerability early in the game, with 25% of their goals conceded coming in the opening 15 minutes.
Despite this, Inter’s superior possession stats and their ability to generate more chances through set-pieces (6.86 corners per match) could be decisive. Given both teams’ BTTS stats (57.14% for Roma and 71.43% for Inter), we can expect goals from both sides in what promises to be a tightly contested affair.
Predicted Scoreline: Roma 1-2 Inter
Inter’s quality, recent form, and attacking firepower should see them edge a narrow victory. Roma will likely put up a strong fight, but Inter’s clinical finishing and experience should be enough to take all three points.