Aston Villa will look to carry the momentum from their recent Champions League victory over Bologna into their Premier League clash against Bournemouth in Round 9. The Villans have been in fine form lately, making them the favorites heading into Saturday’s match at Villa Park. Key players Jacob Ramsey and Ollie Watkins are expected to return to the starting lineup, while Jaden Philogene will miss out due to suspension.
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Bournemouth, on the other hand, will aim to build on their impressive 2-0 win over Arsenal, where they capitalized on an early red card for the Gunners. However, their recent away form has been less encouraging, with losses to Liverpool and Leicester City. With Aston Villa looking strong at home, this promises to be an intriguing matchup. The game is scheduled for October 26, 2024, at 15:00.
Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction
Aston Villa will be looking to extend their strong run of form when they face AFC Bournemouth at Villa Park. Fresh off a Champions League win over Bologna, the Villans are brimming with confidence and will be keen to secure another home victory. With key players like Jacob Ramsey and Ollie Watkins set to return, Villa’s attacking prowess will be on full display. Youri Tielemans, who leads the team in assists with three, will be central to Villa’s playmaking.
Bournemouth head into this match after an impressive 2-0 win over Arsenal, but their away form has been inconsistent, with recent losses to Liverpool and Leicester City. The Cherries will need a strong defensive performance to keep Villa at bay, especially since their top scorer, Antoine Semenyo, will look to capitalize on any defensive lapses.
Predicted Scoreline: Aston Villa 2-1 AFC Bournemouth
Aston Villa’s superior form, coupled with home advantage, should see them edge past Bournemouth. The Villans have been particularly dangerous late in matches, scoring 26.7% of their goals between 75-90 minutes, and Bournemouth’s tendency to concede in the same timeframe (50%) could be decisive. Expect both teams to find the net, but Villa’s depth and momentum should be enough to secure a win.
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Key Factors:
- Late Scoring Opportunities: Villa’s late-game scoring strength matches well against Bournemouth’s defensive vulnerabilities, making a late goal for the hosts a strong possibility.
- Possession Battle: Aston Villa’s 51.75% average possession suggests they can control the flow of the game, while Bournemouth’s lower figure (44.75%) indicates they may need to rely on counterattacks.
- Corners and Set-Pieces: With Bournemouth averaging 6.88 corners per match, set-piece opportunities could be an area to watch, especially for the Cherries looking to exploit Villa’s defense.
A competitive match is expected, but Villa’s recent performances and home advantage give them the edge.
Aston Villa Vs AFC Bournemouth Season Stats
| Performance Summary | Aston Villa | AFC Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Total Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Home Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Away Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Total Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Home Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Away Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Total Lost | 1 | 3 |
| Home Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Away Losses | 0 | 2 |
| Total Goals For | 15 | 10 |
| Home Goals For | 6 | 6 |
| Away Goals For | 9 | 4 |
| Total Goals Against | 10 | 10 |
| Home Goals Against | 5 | 3 |
| Away Goals Against | 5 | 7 |
| Total Clean Sheet | 1 | 1 |
| Home Clean Sheet | 1 | 1 |
| Away Clean Sheet | 0 | 0 |
| Total Failed To Score | 2 | 3 |
| Home Failed To Score | 2 | 1 |
| Away Failed To Score | 0 | 2 |
| Total Av Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.25 |
| Home Av Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Away Av Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1 |
| Total Av Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Home Av Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Away Av Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Total 1st Goal Scored | 28m | 59m |
| Home 1st Goal Scored | 55m | 41m |
| Away 1st Goal Scored | 14m | 87m |
| Total 1st Goal Conceded | 33m | 47m |
| Home 1st Goal Conceded | 31m | 29m |
| Away 1st Goal Conceded | 36m | 71m |
| Goals Scoring Minutes | Aston Villa | AFC Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| 0-15 | 3 (20%) | 0 (0%) |
| 15-30 | 1 (6.7%) | 1 (10%) |
| 30-45 | 2 (13.3%) | 3 (30%) |
| 45-60 | 2 (13.3%) | 0 (0%) |
| 60-75 | 3 (20%) | 1 (10%) |
| 75-90 | 4 (26.7%) | 5 (50%) |
| Goals Conceded Minutes | Aston Villa | AFC Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| 0-15 | 2 (20%) | 0 (0%) |
| 15-30 | 3 (30%) | 4 (40%) |
| 30-45 | 1 (10%) | 1 (10%) |
| 45-60 | 0 (0%) | 3 (30%) |
| 60-75 | 3 (30%) | 0 (0%) |
| 75-90 | 1 (10%) | 2 (20%) |
| Combined Match Stats | Aston Villa | AFC Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Attacks | 710 | 821 |
| Dangerous Attacks | 349 | 445 |
| Av Possession Percent | 51.75 | 44.75 |
| Fouls | 98 | 112 |
| Av Fouls Per Game | 12.25 | 14.00 |
| Offside | 10 | 16 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards | 14 | 20 |
| Shots Blocked | 26 | 38 |
| Shots Off Target | 38 | 55 |
| Av Shots Off Target | 4.75 | 6.88 |
| Shots On Target | 31 | 41 |
| Av Shots On Target | 3.88 | 5.13 |
| Total Corners | 32 | 55 |
| Av Corners | 4.00 | 6.88 |
| BTTS | 75 | 50 |
| Av Player Rating Per Match | 6.82 | 6.87 |
| Tackles | 136 | 157 |
| Total Match Goals Percentages | Aston Villa | AFC Bournemouth | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Away | Home | Away | |
| Over 0.5 | 75 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| Over 1.5 | 75 | 100 | 75 | 75 |
| Over 2.5 | 50 | 100 | 25 | 50 |
| Over 3.5 | 50 | 50 | 25 | 25 |
| Over 4.5 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 25 |
| Over 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Under 0.5 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Under 1.5 | 25 | 0 | 25 | 25 |
| Under 2.5 | 50 | 0 | 75 | 50 |
| Under 3.5 | 50 | 50 | 75 | 75 |
| Under 4.5 | 75 | 100 | 100 | 75 |
| Under 5.5 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction
Aston Villa come into this clash at Villa Park as favorites, buoyed by their recent Champions League success and strong domestic form. They have been consistent in front of goal, and with key players like Jacob Ramsey and Ollie Watkins set to return, the Villans are well-positioned to maintain their momentum. Youri Tielemans’ playmaking (3 assists this season) will be crucial, especially against a Bournemouth side that has shown defensive vulnerabilities away from home.
Bournemouth will be looking to build on their impressive 2-0 win over Arsenal, but their inconsistent away form (recent losses to Liverpool and Leicester City) raises questions about their ability to handle the pressure at Villa Park. Antoine Semenyo, their top scorer with 3 goals, will be key to their chances, but the Cherries will need to be sharp defensively, particularly in the later stages of the match where Aston Villa have proven dangerous.
Predicted Scoreline: Aston Villa 2-1 AFC Bournemouth
Given Aston Villa’s solid home form and recent winning streak, they are likely to edge out a competitive Bournemouth side. Villa’s ability to score late (26.7% of goals between 75-90 minutes) could prove decisive, especially against a Bournemouth team that has struggled defensively in the same timeframe (50% of their goals conceded).
Key Betting Points:
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): With Aston Villa having BTTS in 75% of their matches this season and Bournemouth at 50%, there is a high probability of both teams finding the net.
- Possession and Corners: Villa’s average possession of 51.75% indicates their ability to control the game, but Bournemouth’s 6.88 corners per match suggests they might create set-piece opportunities to trouble the hosts.
- Late Drama: Aston Villa’s tendency to score late goals could be crucial, especially if the match remains tight going into the final stages.
Overall, expect a hard-fought contest with both teams getting on the scoresheet, but Aston Villa’s home advantage and recent form should see them secure a narrow win.