Rayo Vallecano will look to bounce back from a narrow 1-0 defeat to Mallorca when they host Deportivo Alavés in La Liga round 11. Los Vallecanos are currently four points adrift of the Conference League spots, and they will be keen to close that gap with a positive result on Saturday. Despite injuries to Alfonso Espino and Diego Mendez, Rayo remains slight favourites to take all three points in this encounter.
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Deportivo Alavés, meanwhile, have been struggling for form, suffering four consecutive losses in the league. The Basques will be desperate to turn their fortunes around, but their recent poor run makes this an uphill battle. The visitors are further weakened by the suspensions of Abdel Abqar and Kike, as well as injuries to Aleksandar Sedlar and Hugo Novoa. Midfielder Joan Jordan is expected to return to the starting lineup, which could provide a much-needed boost for Alavés.
This match will be played on 26/10/2024 at 15:15.
Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alavés Important H2H Stats
We preview the game at Estadio de Vallecas, where Rayo Vallecano will host Deportivo Alavés. After analysing past head-to-head stats between the two teams, as well as their performances against other opponents, the supercomputer has made its predictions about the match.
The last time these two teams met was on March 10, 2024, with Deportivo Alavés playing at home and securing a narrow 1-0 victory. Currently, Rayo Vallecano are positioned 9th in the league standings, while Deportivo Alavés are struggling further down the table.
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Rayo Vallecano will need to keep a close eye on Kike, the top scorer for Deportivo Alavés this season with 3 goals. Meanwhile, Deportivo Alavés will need to mark Pep Chavarría tightly, as he leads Rayo Vallecano in assists with 1 this season.
Discipline could play a role in this match, with Rayo’s Abdul Mumin receiving the most cards for his team (4 cards). On the other hand, Abdel Abqar has been the most carded player for Alavés, also with 4 cards. Bettors looking at yellow or red card markets should keep an eye on these players.
In terms of scoring trends, Rayo Vallecano’s most prolific period is the first 15 minutes of the match, where they have scored 27.3% of their goals this season. Alavés, meanwhile, are most vulnerable towards the end of the match, conceding 38.5% of their goals between the 75th and 90th minutes.
Rayo Vallecano have maintained an average possession of 48.80% in their matches, while Deportivo Alavés average 42.20%. If you are looking to predict the number of corners in this match, Rayo Vallecano has averaged 5.30 corners per game, while Deportivo Alavés averages 4.80.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) is also an interesting stat to consider, with Rayo Vallecano recording BTTS in 70% of their matches, while Deportivo Alavés has seen BTTS in 60% of theirs.
If you are confident in your analysis and want to place a bet, check the pre-match and live odds in the odds section, where you can also watch the match live.
Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction
Rayo Vallecano will be aiming to capitalize on their home advantage as they face Deportivo Alavés at Estadio de Vallecas. Los Vallecanos have shown solid form at home, and despite their recent setback against Mallorca, they are likely to approach this game with confidence. With Deportivo Alavés struggling, particularly on the road, it appears Rayo will have a favorable opportunity to return to winning ways.
Rayo’s scoring trend early in matches, combined with Alavés’ tendency to concede late goals, could see the home team take control from the start and sustain their momentum throughout the game. Given that Alavés are on a four-game losing streak and face suspensions and injuries, a victory for Rayo Vallecano seems the most probable outcome.
Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to win 2-0
Rayo Vallecano and Deportivo Alavés come into this match with contrasting recent performances. While Rayo have been relatively solid at home, Alavés are facing difficulties, particularly away from home. With Alavés’ defensive weaknesses and Rayo’s ability to score early, the match could very well tilt in favor of the home side. Betting on a Rayo victory, possibly even to nil, would be a sensible choice. However, keep an eye on the form and lineup announcements, as any last-minute changes could influence the outcome.