After a hard-fought victory against Celta Vigo in La Liga, Real Madrid are set to host Borussia Dortmund in a much-anticipated Champions League clash, a rematch of last season’s final. Los Blancos are eager to bounce back from their recent 2-0 loss to Lille and will look to put on a strong performance at the Santiago Bernabéu. With Carlo Ancelotti able to call upon most of his key players, a home win seems likely. However, Real Madrid will be without the services of David Alaba, Dani Carvajal, and Brahim Diaz.
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Borussia Dortmund, on the other hand, secured a 2-1 win over St. Pauli in the Bundesliga, but their performance left much to be desired. Although they have had a strong start to their Champions League campaign with two wins, they will be wary of facing a determined Real Madrid side away from home. The German outfit will miss several key players, including Adeyemi, Besong, Couto, Duranville, and Reyna, but they hope to have Niclas Sule fit for the clash. The match is scheduled for October 22, 2024, at 20:00.
Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund: Important H2H Stats
As Real Madrid prepare to host Borussia Dortmund at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, here are the key head-to-head (H2H) stats and performance insights ahead of this Champions League clash:
- Recent H2H Encounter: The last time these two teams met was on June 1, 2024, in the Champions League final, with Real Madrid securing a 2-0 victory away at Borussia Dortmund. This will give Los Blancos confidence heading into this rematch.
- Key Players:
- Real Madrid: Luka Modrić has been the creative spark for Real Madrid, leading the team with 1 assist this season. His playmaking will be crucial in unlocking Dortmund’s defense. However, Modrić also has 2 yellow cards, making him a player who needs to stay disciplined.
- Borussia Dortmund: Sehrou Guirassy is Dortmund’s top scorer this season with 3 goals, and the German side will rely on him to make an impact against a tough Madrid defense.
- Disciplinary Concerns:
- Real Madrid: Luka Modrić has picked up 2 yellow cards this season, so he will need to manage his discipline carefully to avoid potential issues.
- Borussia Dortmund: Julian Ryerson has received 1 yellow card, and given the high stakes of this match, maintaining composure will be key.
- Scoring and Conceding Patterns:
- Real Madrid: The Spanish giants are most effective in the 75-90 minute window, scoring 66.7% of their goals during this period. This shows their ability to finish games strongly, which could be decisive in a close contest.
- Borussia Dortmund: Dortmund are vulnerable late in games, conceding 40% of their goals in the 75-90 minute range. This suggests Real Madrid could exploit Dortmund’s late-game lapses if the scoreline is tight.
- Possession and Corners:
- Possession Stats: Borussia Dortmund have a slightly higher average possession (58.00%) compared to Real Madrid (52.00%), indicating that Dortmund may look to control the ball, but Madrid’s counter-attacking ability remains a potent threat.
- Corners: Real Madrid have an edge in set-piece opportunities, averaging 6.50 corners per match, while Dortmund averages 5.50. Set plays could be a key area where Madrid can create scoring chances.
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Stats: Both teams have seen BTTS in 50% of their matches, suggesting that there is a reasonable chance that both teams will find the net during this game.
These key H2H stats reveal that Real Madrid’s ability to score late and Dortmund’s defensive vulnerabilities in the same period could be a deciding factor. Expect Real Madrid to push hard, especially towards the end, to secure a positive result at home.
Real Madrid Vs Borussia Dortmund Season Stat
| Performance Summary | Real Madrid | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Total Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Home Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Away Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Total Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Home Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Away Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Total Lost | 1 | 0 |
| Home Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Away Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Total Goals For | 3 | 10 |
| Home Goals For | 3 | 7 |
| Away Goals For | 0 | 3 |
| Total Goals Against | 2 | 1 |
| Home Goals Against | 1 | 1 |
| Away Goals Against | 1 | 0 |
| Total Clean Sheet | 0 | 1 |
| Home Clean Sheet | 0 | 0 |
| Away Clean Sheet | 0 | 1 |
| Total Failed To Score | 1 | 0 |
| Home Failed To Score | 0 | 0 |
| Away Failed To Score | 1 | 0 |
| Total Av Goals Scored | 1.5 | 5 |
| Home Av Goals Scored | 3 | 7 |
| Away Av Goals Scored | 0 | 3 |
| Total Av Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.5 |
| Home Av Goals Conceded | 1 | 1 |
| Away Av Goals Conceded | 1 | 0 |
| Total 1st Goal Scored | 46m | 42m |
| Home 1st Goal Scored | 46m | 7m |
| Away 1st Goal Scored | 0m | 76m |
| Total 1st Goal Conceded | 57m | 9m |
| Home 1st Goal Conceded | 45m | 0m |
| Away 1st Goal Conceded | 68m | 9m |
| Goals Scoring Minutes | Real Madrid | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 0-15 | 0 (0%) | 2 (20%) |
| 15-30 | 0 (0%) | 1 (10%) |
| 30-45 | 0 (0%) | 2 (20%) |
| 45-60 | 1 (33.3%) | 0 (0%) |
| 60-75 | 0 (0%) | 1 (10%) |
| 75-90 | 2 (66.7%) | 4 (40%) |
| Goals Conceded Minutes | Real Madrid | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 0-15 | 0 (0%) | 1 (100%) |
| 15-30 | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
| 30-45 | 1 (50%) | 0 (0%) |
| 45-60 | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
| 60-75 | 1 (50%) | 0 (0%) |
| 75-90 | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
| Combined Match Stats | Real Madrid | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Attacks | 204 | 205 |
| Dangerous Attacks | 99 | 94 |
| Av Possession Percent | 52.00 | 58.00 |
| Fouls | 27 | 18 |
| Av Fouls Per Game | 13.50 | 9.00 |
| Offside | 1 | 6 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards | 9 | 3 |
| Shots Blocked | 8 | 4 |
| Shots Off Target | 11 | 10 |
| Av Shots Off Target | 5.50 | 5.00 |
| Shots On Target | 14 | 19 |
| Av Shots On Target | 7.00 | 9.50 |
| Total Corners | 13 | 11 |
| Av Corners | 6.50 | 5.50 |
| BTTS | 50 | 50 |
| Av Player Rating Per Match | 7.1 | 7.36 |
| Tackles | 39 | 28 |
| Total Match Goals Percentages | Real Madrid | Borussia Dortmund | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Away | Home | Away | |
| Over 0.5 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| Over 1.5 | 100 | 0 | 100 | 100 |
| Over 2.5 | 100 | 0 | 100 | 100 |
| Over 3.5 | 100 | 0 | 100 | 0 |
| Over 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 0 |
| Over 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 0 |
| Under 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Under 1.5 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 |
| Under 2.5 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 |
| Under 3.5 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 100 |
| Under 4.5 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 100 |
| Under 5.5 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 100 |
Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Based on current form and key stats, Real Madrid are favorites to win this Champions League clash at the Santiago Bernabéu. Los Blancos are eager to bounce back after their 2-0 loss to Lille, and playing at home will provide the perfect setting for them to regain momentum. With key players available and the added boost from recent victories over Borussia Dortmund, Carlo Ancelotti’s side is well-positioned to secure all three points. Real Madrid’s strength in the final stages of games (66.7% of their goals scored between 75-90 minutes) suggests they are capable of turning up the pressure when it matters most.
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Borussia Dortmund, despite their 2-1 win over St. Pauli, have shown defensive vulnerabilities, especially late in matches (40% of goals conceded in the 75-90 minute range). While they have been impressive in possession and have the ability to control the game, the absence of key players such as Adeyemi and Reyna could hurt their attacking options. Dortmund will need a disciplined and organized performance to have a chance, but they might struggle to contain a motivated Real Madrid side.
Given Madrid’s home advantage, ability to finish strong, and Dortmund’s defensive frailties, a home win is the most likely outcome.
Predicted Scoreline: Real Madrid 2-1 Borussia Dortmund
Expect a competitive match where Borussia Dortmund may have spells of control, but Real Madrid’s resilience and quality in the decisive moments should see them come out on top. Late-game pressure from the hosts could be the difference-maker, with Real Madrid likely sealing the win in the final minutes.