Dallas vs Sporting KC Prediction, Stats, H2H, Odds & Betting tips

Dallas vs Sporting KC Prediction, Stats, H2H, Odds & Betting tips

FC Dallas will host Sporting Kansas City at Toyota Stadium on the final day of the regular MLS season. Although the Toros missed out on a playoff spot, they will be eager to finish the season on a positive note with a win in front of their home fans. Despite the absence of experienced midfielder Asier Illarramendi due to suspension and injuries to Fraser, Geovane Jesus, and Pomykal, Dallas will look to build on their past success against Sporting KC.

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Dallas vs Sporting KC Prediction, Stats, H2H, Odds & Betting tips

Sporting Kansas City, meanwhile, have had a disappointing season and find themselves at the bottom of the table with just 31 points. With a poor run of form leading into the season finale, it will be a tough task for them to get a result against a Dallas side looking to end on a high. The Wizards will also be without key players like Nemanja Radoja, Daniel Rosero, and Andreu Fontas due to injuries. The last time these two sides met at Toyota Stadium, Dallas emerged victorious with a 2-1 win, a result they’ll be hoping to replicate. The match is scheduled for October 20, 2024, at 02:00.

Dallas vs Sporting KC: Important H2H Stats

As FC Dallas prepare to face Sporting Kansas City at Toyota Stadium, here are the key head-to-head (H2H) stats and performance insights ahead of this final regular-season MLS encounter:

  • Recent H2H Encounter: The last meeting between these two teams was on July 11, 2024, with Sporting KC securing a 2-1 victory at home. Dallas will be looking to reverse that result on their home turf.
  • Current League Positions: Neither team has had a successful season, with Dallas missing out on a playoff spot and Sporting KC stuck at the bottom of the table with only 31 points.
  • Key Players:
    • Dallas: Sebastian Lletget has been a crucial playmaker for Dallas this season, leading the team with 7 assists. His creativity will be key if Dallas are to break down Sporting KC’s defense.
    • Sporting KC: William Agade is the top scorer for Sporting KC with 9 goals. Dallas will need to keep a close eye on him to avoid any defensive lapses.
  • Disciplinary Concerns:
    • Dallas: Sebastien Ibeagha has accumulated 9 yellow cards, making him a potential liability if discipline becomes an issue during the match.
    • Sporting KC: Jacob Davis has the worst disciplinary record for Sporting KC with 10 cards this season, so his aggressive play will need to be managed carefully.
  • Scoring and Conceding Patterns:
    • Dallas: The Toros are most effective late in matches, scoring 21.2% of their goals between 75-90 minutes. They may look to capitalize on this if the game remains close towards the end.
    • Sporting KC: Sporting KC are most vulnerable in the 60-75 minute window, conceding 26% of their goals during this period. Dallas could exploit this weakness, especially if they build momentum in the second half.
  • Possession and Corners:
    • Possession Stats: Sporting KC have a slight edge in possession, averaging 50.85% compared to Dallas’ 48.70%, indicating that KC may look to control the tempo.
    • Corners: Sporting KC also generate more set-piece opportunities, averaging 5.45 corners per match compared to Dallas’ 3.79, which could be a crucial factor in the game.
  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Stats: Dallas have seen BTTS in 72.73% of their matches this season, while Sporting KC have BTTS in 75.76%, suggesting a high possibility of goals at both ends in this fixture.

These H2H stats highlight key trends and areas of focus for both teams. With Dallas’ late scoring ability and Sporting KC’s defensive vulnerabilities in the second half, the game could be decided by who capitalizes on crucial moments.

Dallas Vs Sporting KC Season Stats

Performance SummaryDallasSporting KC
Total Wins108
Home Wins96
Away Wins12
Total Draws87
Home Draws24
Away Draws63
Total Lost1518
Home Losses57
Away Losses1011
Total Goals For5250
Home Goals For3233
Away Goals For2017
Total Goals Against5564
Home Goals Against2432
Away Goals Against3132
Total Clean Sheet73
Home Clean Sheet42
Away Clean Sheet31
Total Failed To Score66
Home Failed To Score22
Away Failed To Score44
Total Av Goals Scored1.581.52
Home Av Goals Scored21.94
Away Av Goals Scored1.181.06
Total Av Goals Conceded1.671.94
Home Av Goals Conceded1.51.88
Away Av Goals Conceded1.822
Total 1st Goal Scored43m42m
Home 1st Goal Scored33m31m
Away 1st Goal Scored54m56m
Total 1st Goal Conceded34m47m
Home 1st Goal Conceded34m51m
Away 1st Goal Conceded35m43m
Goals Scoring MinutesDallasSporting KC
0-155 (9.6%)4 (8%)
15-308 (15.4%)9 (18%)
30-458 (15.4%)6 (12%)
45-6010 (19.2%)8 (16%)
60-7510 (19.2%)13 (26%)
75-9011 (21.2%)10 (20%)
Goals Conceded MinutesDallasSporting KC
0-159 (16.4%)5 (7.8%)
15-308 (14.5%)5 (7.8%)
30-456 (10.9%)15 (23.4%)
45-6010 (18.2%)6 (9.4%)
60-758 (14.5%)16 (25%)
75-9014 (25.5%)17 (26.6%)
Combined Match StatsDallasSporting KC
Attacks28523486
Dangerous Attacks11391685
Av Possession Percent48.7050.85
Fouls395396
Av Fouls Per Game11.9712.00
Offside6152
Red Cards13
Yellow Cards7365
Shots Blocked96139
Shots Off Target175183
Av Shots Off Target5.305.55
Shots On Target153144
Av Shots On Target4.644.36
Total Corners125180
Av Corners3.795.45
BTTS72.7375.76
Av Player Rating Per Match6.856.81
Tackles471555
Total Match Goals PercentagesDallasSporting KC
HomeAwayHomeAway
Over 0.593.7582.3510093.75
Over 1.587.576.4710087.5
Over 2.568.7558.8276.4768.75
Over 3.55041.1841.1837.5
Over 4.52529.4141.1812.5
Over 5.512.55.8817.656.25
Under 0.56.2517.6506.25
Under 1.512.523.53012.5
Under 2.531.2541.1823.5331.25
Under 3.55058.8258.8262.5
Under 4.57570.5958.8287.5
Under 5.587.594.1282.3593.75

Dallas vs Sporting KC Prediction

Based on current form and key stats, FC Dallas head into this match as slight favorites, particularly with home advantage on their side. Although they have missed out on the playoffs, Dallas will be motivated to finish the season on a high note in front of their fans. Sebastian Lletget’s playmaking ability, with 7 assists this season, will be key in unlocking Sporting KC’s defense. Additionally, Dallas’ tendency to score late in matches (21.2% of their goals between 75-90 minutes) could play a decisive role if the match is tightly contested heading into the final stages.

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Sporting Kansas City have endured a tough season, sitting at the bottom of the table. With a three-game losing streak and numerous injuries, they are unlikely to turn things around against a Dallas side eager to end on a positive note. Although William Agade, their top scorer with 9 goals, remains a threat, Sporting KC’s defensive struggles, particularly between 60-75 minutes (26% of their goals conceded), could prove costly.

Both teams have shown a high BTTS rate (Dallas at 72.73% and Sporting KC at 75.76%), suggesting that both sides are likely to score. However, Dallas’ motivation to end the season strong and Sporting KC’s lack of form make the home side the more likely winners.

Predicted Scoreline: Dallas 2-1 Sporting KC

Expect a competitive match with both teams finding the net, but Dallas’ stronger home form and late-game scoring ability should see them edge out Sporting KC. The Toros should be able to finish their season on a high with a narrow victory.