Inter Miami will look to cap off a successful regular season when they host New England Revolution at Chase Stadium on Saturday. The Herons have already secured the top spot in the Eastern Conference, but they will be eager to give their fans another reason to celebrate before the playoffs. With Leo Messi expected to be rested after his international duties with Argentina, Miami will rely on their depth to get the job done, despite ongoing injuries to Farias, Freire, Leonardo Afonso, and dos Santos.
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Meanwhile, the New England Revolution are enduring a disappointing season, having missed out on a playoff spot. With a three-game losing streak in Major League Soccer, the Revs face a tough task against the conference leaders, and anything other than a comfortable win for the home side would be a surprise. New England’s squad is further depleted by injuries to Cil, Chancalay, and Miller, while Will Sands will face a late fitness test. The match is scheduled for October 19, 2024, at 23:00.
Inter Miami vs New England: Important H2H Stats
As Inter Miami prepare to face New England Revolution at Chase Stadium, here are the key head-to-head (H2H) stats and insights ahead of this MLS encounter:
- Recent H2H Encounter: The last time these two teams met was on April 27, 2024, with Inter Miami securing a 4-1 victory away at New England. Miami will be looking to replicate that dominant performance on home soil.
- Current League Positions: Inter Miami are currently in 1st position in the Eastern Conference, while New England have had a disappointing season, failing to secure a playoff spot.
- Key Players:
- Inter Miami: Lionel Messi leads Miami’s creative play with 11 assists this season. Although he may be rested for this match, his absence could still be felt, and Miami will need others to step up.
- New England: Giacomo Vrioni is the top scorer for New England with 9 goals. If New England are to trouble Miami, Vrioni will be their key attacking threat.
- Disciplinary Concerns:
- Inter Miami: Tomás Agustín Avilés has the most cards for Miami, with 13 yellow cards this season. His discipline will be crucial in ensuring Miami’s defensive stability.
- New England: Matt Polster has picked up 8 yellow cards, and his physical style of play could see him walk a disciplinary tightrope against Miami.
- Scoring and Conceding Patterns:
- Inter Miami: The Herons are most dangerous late in matches, with 20.5% of their goals coming in the 75-90 minute range. This could be key if the match is tightly contested heading into the final stages.
- New England: New England have shown vulnerability in the 30-45 minute window, conceding 22.9% of their goals during this period. Miami may look to exploit this weakness before halftime.
- Possession and Corners:
- Possession Stats: Inter Miami average 54.55% possession, slightly more than New England’s 51.85%, indicating that Miami will likely look to control the game’s tempo.
- Corners: New England have been more productive in set-pieces, averaging 4.82 corners per match compared to Miami’s 3.88 corners.
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Stats: Inter Miami have seen BTTS in 78.79% of their matches, while New England have BTTS in 54.55%, suggesting a high possibility that both teams will score in this encounter.
These H2H stats reveal the trends and key areas of focus for both teams. Inter Miami’s late-game scoring and New England’s defensive lapses before halftime could play a critical role, as both sides prepare for their final regular-season clash.
Inter Miami Vs New England Season Stats
| Performance Summary | Inter Miami | New England |
|---|---|---|
| Total Wins | 21 | 9 |
| Home Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Away Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Total Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Home Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Away Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Total Lost | 4 | 20 |
| Home Losses | 2 | 8 |
| Away Losses | 2 | 12 |
| Total Goals For | 73 | 35 |
| Home Goals For | 39 | 19 |
| Away Goals For | 34 | 16 |
| Total Goals Against | 47 | 68 |
| Home Goals Against | 20 | 30 |
| Away Goals Against | 27 | 38 |
| Total Clean Sheet | 6 | 5 |
| Home Clean Sheet | 4 | 3 |
| Away Clean Sheet | 2 | 2 |
| Total Failed To Score | 2 | 10 |
| Home Failed To Score | 0 | 3 |
| Away Failed To Score | 2 | 7 |
| Total Av Goals Scored | 2.21 | 1.06 |
| Home Av Goals Scored | 2.44 | 1.12 |
| Away Av Goals Scored | 2 | 1 |
| Total Av Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 2.06 |
| Home Av Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.76 |
| Away Av Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 2.38 |
| Total 1st Goal Scored | 40m | 40m |
| Home 1st Goal Scored | 36m | 38m |
| Away 1st Goal Scored | 45m | 43m |
| Total 1st Goal Conceded | 40m | 41m |
| Home 1st Goal Conceded | 40m | 40m |
| Away 1st Goal Conceded | 39m | 42m |
| Goals Scoring Minutes | Inter Miami | New England |
|---|---|---|
| 0-15 | 8 (11%) | 5 (14.3%) |
| 15-30 | 11 (15.1%) | 7 (20%) |
| 30-45 | 12 (16.4%) | 8 (22.9%) |
| 45-60 | 14 (19.2%) | 3 (8.6%) |
| 60-75 | 13 (17.8%) | 6 (17.1%) |
| 75-90 | 15 (20.5%) | 6 (17.1%) |
| Goals Conceded Minutes | Inter Miami | New England |
|---|---|---|
| 0-15 | 10 (21.3%) | 7 (10.3%) |
| 15-30 | 2 (4.3%) | 6 (8.8%) |
| 30-45 | 10 (21.3%) | 12 (17.6%) |
| 45-60 | 7 (14.9%) | 12 (17.6%) |
| 60-75 | 11 (23.4%) | 13 (19.1%) |
| 75-90 | 7 (14.9%) | 18 (26.5%) |
| Combined Match Stats | Inter Miami | New England |
|---|---|---|
| Attacks | 2989 | 3166 |
| Dangerous Attacks | 1257 | 1477 |
| Av Possession Percent | 54.55 | 51.85 |
| Fouls | 371 | 372 |
| Av Fouls Per Game | 11.24 | 11.27 |
| Offside | 71 | 52 |
| Red Cards | 4 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards | 94 | 65 |
| Shots Blocked | 83 | 100 |
| Shots Off Target | 125 | 154 |
| Av Shots Off Target | 3.79 | 4.67 |
| Shots On Target | 175 | 132 |
| Av Shots On Target | 5.30 | 4.00 |
| Total Corners | 128 | 159 |
| Av Corners | 3.88 | 4.82 |
| BTTS | 78.79 | 54.55 |
| Av Player Rating Per Match | 6.9 | 6.76 |
| Tackles | 572 | 455 |
| Total Match Goals Percentages | Inter Miami | New England | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Away | Home | Away | |
| Over 0.5 | 100 | 94.12 | 100 | 100 |
| Over 1.5 | 93.75 | 88.24 | 70.59 | 87.5 |
| Over 2.5 | 68.75 | 76.47 | 58.82 | 68.75 |
| Over 3.5 | 56.25 | 52.94 | 35.29 | 43.75 |
| Over 4.5 | 25 | 35.29 | 17.65 | 25 |
| Over 5.5 | 12.5 | 5.88 | 5.88 | 12.5 |
| Under 0.5 | 0 | 5.88 | 0 | 0 |
| Under 1.5 | 6.25 | 11.76 | 29.41 | 12.5 |
| Under 2.5 | 31.25 | 23.53 | 41.18 | 31.25 |
| Under 3.5 | 43.75 | 47.06 | 64.71 | 56.25 |
| Under 4.5 | 75 | 64.71 | 82.35 | 75 |
| Under 5.5 | 87.5 | 94.12 | 94.12 | 87.5 |
Inter Miami vs New England Prediction
Based on current form and key stats, Inter Miami come into this match as clear favorites. Having already secured the top spot in the Eastern Conference, Miami will look to cap off their regular season with a victory at home. Even with the possibility of Lionel Messi being rested after international duty, the Herons have enough depth to cause problems for a struggling New England side. Players like Leonardo Campana and other attacking options should have the quality to lead the team in Messi’s absence.
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New England, on the other hand, have had a disappointing season, failing to make the playoffs, and come into this game on a three-game losing streak. With their top scorer Giacomo Vrioni as their main threat, they will hope to put up a fight, but their recent form and defensive weaknesses suggest a tough night ahead. Given that Inter Miami tend to score late (20.5% of goals in the final 15 minutes) and New England often concede just before halftime (22.9% of goals between 30-45 minutes), the match could see Miami striking at key moments.
Overall, Inter Miami’s quality, home advantage, and superior form make them strong favorites for this encounter. New England’s poor run, combined with defensive vulnerabilities, means they could struggle to contain Miami, even if the game remains competitive in stages.
Predicted Scoreline: Inter Miami 3-1 New England
Inter Miami’s attacking depth and late-game scoring ability should see them secure a comfortable win. Expect New England to possibly find the net, but Miami’s overall strength should see them end their regular season on a high note with a convincing victory.