AC Milan will look to bounce back from their recent 2-1 loss to Fiorentina as they take on Udinese in a crucial Serie A clash on Matchday 8. The Rossoneri are aiming for their third consecutive home victory, but they will need to overcome a few key absences, including Theo Hernandez, who is suspended for the match. Injuries to key players such as Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Davide Calabria, Ismael Bennacer, and Alessandro Florenzi also pose challenges, though in-form USA international Christian Pulisic will be one to watch.
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Udinese, fresh off a 1-0 win against Lecce, will hope to continue their momentum, but their inconsistent form on the road could make this a tough challenge. Milan defeated Udinese 3-2 in their last encounter, and they will be hoping to repeat that success. With several injuries to key players like Thomas Kristensen, Martin Payero, and Alexis Sanchez, Udinese will need to dig deep to take something from this game. The match is set for October 19, 2024, at 17:00.
Milan vs Udinese: Important H2H Stats
As AC Milan prepare to host Udinese at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, let’s look at the key head-to-head (H2H) stats and insights that could influence this Serie A encounter:
- Recent H2H Encounter: The last meeting between these two teams took place on January 20, 2024, when Milan secured a 3-2 victory away at Udinese. Milan will be aiming to repeat that success at home.
- Current League Positions: Milan are currently in 6th position in Serie A, while Udinese are flying high in 3rd place, making this a significant match in the race for European qualification.
- Key Players:
- Milan: Rafael Leão is the creative engine for Milan, leading the team with 3 assists this season. Udinese will need to be extra cautious of his ability to unlock their defense.
- Udinese: Florian Thauvin is Udinese’s top scorer this season with 3 goals, and Milan will need to keep a close eye on him to prevent any decisive strikes.
- Disciplinary Concerns:
- Milan: Morata has received 2 yellow cards this season, making him a potential liability if discipline becomes a factor in this match.
- Udinese: Lautaro Gianetti has the worst disciplinary record for Udinese with 3 cards, so his discipline will need to be managed carefully to avoid weakening Udinese’s defense.
- Scoring and Conceding Patterns:
- Milan: The Rossoneri are most dangerous early in matches, having scored 20% of their goals between 0-15 minutes. Udinese will need to be alert from the start to avoid conceding early.
- Udinese: Udinese are most vulnerable late in games, conceding 30% of their goals between 75-90 minutes. Milan could capitalize on this if the game remains close heading into the final stages.
- Possession and Corners:
- Possession Stats: Milan have dominated possession this season with an average of 56.86%, while Udinese hold 41.71% possession, indicating Milan may control much of the match.
- Corners: Milan average 6.29 corners per match, compared to Udinese’s 4.57, suggesting that Milan are likely to create more set-piece opportunities.
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Stats: Milan have seen BTTS in 71.43% of their matches this season, while Udinese have BTTS in 57.14% of their games, signaling a good chance of goals from both sides in this encounter.
These H2H stats highlight key trends and areas of focus for both teams. Milan’s early scoring ability and Udinese’s vulnerability in the final 15 minutes will be critical factors as both teams fight for important points in the Serie A table.
Milan Vs Udinese Season Stats
| Performance Summary | Milan | Udinese |
|---|---|---|
| Total Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Home Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Away Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Total Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Home Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Away Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Total Lost | 2 | 2 |
| Home Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Away Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Total Goals For | 15 | 10 |
| Home Goals For | 9 | 6 |
| Away Goals For | 6 | 4 |
| Total Goals Against | 9 | 10 |
| Home Goals Against | 2 | 4 |
| Away Goals Against | 7 | 6 |
| Total Clean Sheet | 2 | 2 |
| Home Clean Sheet | 2 | 2 |
| Away Clean Sheet | 0 | 0 |
| Total Failed To Score | 0 | 1 |
| Home Failed To Score | 0 | 0 |
| Away Failed To Score | 0 | 1 |
| Total Av Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.43 |
| Home Av Goals Scored | 3 | 1.5 |
| Away Av Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.33 |
| Total Av Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.43 |
| Home Av Goals Conceded | 0.67 | 1 |
| Away Av Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 2 |
| Total 1st Goal Scored | 39m | 46m |
| Home 1st Goal Scored | 43m | 40m |
| Away 1st Goal Scored | 36m | 59m |
| Total 1st Goal Conceded | 39m | 34m |
| Home 1st Goal Conceded | 32m | 26m |
| Away 1st Goal Conceded | 68m | 46m |
| Goals Scoring Minutes | Milan | Udinese |
|---|---|---|
| 0-15 | 3 (20%) | 1 (10%) |
| 15-30 | 3 (20%) | 0 (0%) |
| 30-45 | 3 (20%) | 2 (20%) |
| 45-60 | 1 (6.7%) | 2 (20%) |
| 60-75 | 2 (13.3%) | 2 (20%) |
| 75-90 | 3 (20%) | 3 (30%) |
| Goals Conceded Minutes | Milan | Udinese |
|---|---|---|
| 0-15 | 1 (11.1%) | 2 (20%) |
| 15-30 | 2 (22.2%) | 1 (10%) |
| 30-45 | 1 (11.1%) | 2 (20%) |
| 45-60 | 0 (0%) | 3 (30%) |
| 60-75 | 4 (44.4%) | 1 (10%) |
| 75-90 | 1 (11.1%) | 1 (10%) |
| Combined Match Stats | Milan | Udinese |
|---|---|---|
| Attacks | 650 | 559 |
| Dangerous Attacks | 353 | 252 |
| Av Possession Percent | 56.86 | 41.71 |
| Fouls | 74 | 102 |
| Av Fouls Per Game | 10.57 | 14.57 |
| Offside | 2 | 10 |
| Red Cards | 1 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards | 14 | 19 |
| Shots Blocked | 24 | 21 |
| Shots Off Target | 45 | 32 |
| Av Shots Off Target | 6.43 | 4.57 |
| Shots On Target | 45 | 22 |
| Av Shots On Target | 6.43 | 3.14 |
| Total Corners | 44 | 32 |
| Av Corners | 6.29 | 4.57 |
| BTTS | 71.43 | 57.14 |
| Av Player Rating Per Match | 6.98 | 6.86 |
| Tackles | 93 | 112 |
| Total Match Goals Percentages | Milan | Udinese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Away | Home | Away | |
| Over 0.5 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| Over 1.5 | 100 | 100 | 50 | 100 |
| Over 2.5 | 100 | 100 | 50 | 66.67 |
| Over 3.5 | 66.67 | 25 | 25 | 33.33 |
| Over 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 33.33 |
| Over 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Under 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Under 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 0 |
| Under 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 33.33 |
| Under 3.5 | 33.33 | 75 | 75 | 66.67 |
| Under 4.5 | 100 | 100 | 75 | 66.67 |
| Under 5.5 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Milan vs Udinese Prediction
Based on current form and key stats, AC Milan enter this match as favourites, especially with their strong home record and dominance in possession (averaging 56.86%). Milan’s ability to score early, particularly in the opening 15 minutes, could give them a vital edge against a Udinese side that has been vulnerable late in games, conceding 30% of their goals between 75-90 minutes. With Rafael Leão’s playmaking ability and Christian Pulisic’s attacking threat, Milan should have the tools to break down Udinese’s defence.
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However, Udinese’s recent strong league form, sitting in 3rd place, means they can’t be underestimated. Florian Thauvin, Udinese’s top scorer, will be key in their attack, and if Udinese can frustrate Milan’s attack early, they could make this a competitive game.
Milan’s home advantage and superior possession stats should ultimately see them through, but Udinese’s ability to score and Milan’s tendency to concede in some games suggest that both teams are likely to find the net.
Predicted Scoreline: Milan 2-1 Udinese
Milan’s attacking firepower, combined with their ability to control possession, should see them secure a narrow victory. Expect Udinese to pose a threat on the counter, but Milan’s quality should be enough to take all three points.