Montpellier will aim to secure back-to-back Ligue 1 victories as they face Olympique Marseille at home on Wednesday. Currently sitting 12th in the table, Montpellier’s recent 1-0 win over Metz lifted them four points clear of the relegation zone, marking a much-needed victory after a difficult run of six games without a win. With only one home victory in eight matches this season, La Paillade will face a tough challenge as they host a high-flying Marseille side.
The visitors, sitting sixth in the league, are in strong form with four consecutive league wins. Marseille will be looking to continue their surge toward the top four, especially after an important 2-1 win against Clermont. Despite struggles away from home, Marseille’s recent victory at Lorient suggests they have the quality to secure an away win in this match.
Montpellier vs Olympique Marseille: Important H2H Stats
As Montpellier prepare to face Olympique Marseille at the Stade de la Mosson, let’s break down the key head-to-head (H2H) stats and performance insights ahead of this Ligue 1 encounter.
- Recent H2H Result: The last meeting between these two teams was on February 25, 2024, where Marseille comfortably won 4-1 at home. Montpellier will be eager to improve on that result as they host this time around.
- Current League Standings: Olympique Marseille currently hold the 3rd position in Ligue 1, while Montpellier sit in 12th place, making this a critical match for both sides as Marseille push for Champions League qualification.
- Key Players:
- Montpellier: Teji Savanier, Montpellier’s key playmaker, has registered 2 assists this season. His ability to unlock Marseille’s defense will be crucial for the hosts.
- Olympique Marseille: Mason Greenwood is the top scorer for Marseille this season with 5 goals. Montpellier’s defense will need to be on high alert to keep him under control.
- Disciplinary Concerns:
- Montpellier: Rabby Nzingoula has the most yellow cards for Montpellier this season with 4. His discipline will be key, especially against a dangerous Marseille attack.
- Olympique Marseille: Leonardo Balerdi has picked up 2 cards this season, making him a player to watch in terms of discipline for Marseille.
- Scoring and Conceding Patterns:
- Montpellier: The hosts have shown a tendency to score between 60-75 minutes, with 50% of their goals coming during this period.
- Olympique Marseille: Marseille are most vulnerable between the 15-30 minute mark, having conceded 25% of their goals in that window.
- Possession and Corners:
- Possession Stats: Marseille are dominant in possession, averaging 60.00%, compared to Montpellier’s 47.43%, suggesting that Marseille may look to control the tempo of the game.
- Corners: Montpellier average 5.29 corners per game, while Marseille average only 3.00 corners per match, indicating Montpellier might create more set-piece opportunities.
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Stats: Both Montpellier and Marseille have seen BTTS in 71.43% of their matches this season, making it highly likely that both sides could find the back of the net in this encounter.
These H2H stats and performance insights provide a strong foundation for predicting the key dynamics of this match, highlighting both teams’ strengths and vulnerabilities. The match promises to be competitive with both sides having the ability to score.
Montpellier vs Olympique Marseille Prediction
Based on current form, head-to-head stats, and performance trends, Olympique Marseille head into this match as the favorites. Montpellier, despite their recent win over Metz, have struggled at home this season, winning just one of their last eight home matches. While Montpellier’s defense has been relatively solid, their lack of goals has hampered their ability to secure more victories. Teji Savanier will need to be at his creative best to provide chances for Montpellier.
Olympique Marseille, on the other hand, are in excellent form, winning four consecutive Ligue 1 matches and pushing for a top-four finish. With Mason Greenwood leading the attack and a solid possession game, they are likely to dominate much of the play. Although their away form has been inconsistent, their recent victory on the road against Lorient could give them the confidence to secure another away win.
Given both teams’ BTTS statistics, Montpellier’s scoring patterns in the second half, and Marseille’s occasional defensive lapses, it is likely that both sides will find the back of the net.
Predicted Scoreline: Montpellier 1-2 Olympique Marseille
Marseille’s superior quality and attacking threat should see them secure a hard-fought victory, but Montpellier’s home resilience could keep the scoreline close. Expect a competitive game with both teams scoring, but Marseille should have the edge in the end.