This weekend, Newcastle United will host Brighton & Hove Albion in a crucial Premier League clash that could see the home side close the gap on fifth-placed Tottenham Hotspur. Eddie Howe’s team currently sits 6th in the table, just four points behind Spurs, but with three games in hand, they have a great opportunity to push for European qualification. Newcastle comes into this fixture with confidence, riding a seven-game unbeaten run at St. James’ Park, where they have been prolific in front of goal, netting 23 times in those matches.
Brighton, on the other hand, ended a six-game winless streak with a narrow 1-0 victory over Aston Villa last weekend. Currently sitting 11th in the table, Robert De Zerbi’s side has struggled with injuries and away form, having lost nine of their last 12 Premier League games on the road. However, Brighton will draw confidence from their previous 3-1 win against Newcastle back in September. This game promises to be an exciting contest with significant stakes for both teams.
Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Important H2H Stats
The last time Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion faced off was on May 11, 2024, in a tightly contested match that ended in a 1-1 draw at St. James’ Park. As both teams prepare to meet again, let’s take a closer look at the key head-to-head (H2H) stats and notable performances from each side in recent games.
- Current League Positions: Newcastle United are currently 7th in the Premier League, while Brighton & Hove Albion hold 6th place, making this clash crucial for both teams as they battle for European spots.
- Recent Form: Newcastle are unbeaten in their last seven home games at St. James’ Park, scoring 23 goals and conceding 11, with 12 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in their 18 home matches this season. Brighton, on the other hand, have struggled away from home, winning just once in their last 12 away matches.
- Key Players:
- Newcastle United: Jacob Murphy has been one of the standout performers for Newcastle, leading the team in assists with 2 this season. However, discipline could be a factor, as Joelinton has the most yellow cards for Newcastle this season with 4.
- Brighton & Hove Albion: Danny Welbeck will be a player to watch for Brighton, as he is their top scorer this season with 4 goals. On the defensive end, Bart Verbruggen has picked up 2 cards, making him a player to keep an eye on in terms of discipline.
- Scoring and Conceding Patterns: Newcastle United have been most dangerous in the final stages of games, with 37.5% of their goals coming between the 75th and 90th minute. Brighton, however, have shown vulnerability just before halftime, conceding 30.8% of their goals between the 30th and 45th minute.
- Possession Stats: Brighton have generally dominated possession this season, averaging 59.00% per match, while Newcastle United have averaged a lower 47.71%. This could indicate that Brighton might control the ball more, but Newcastle’s counter-attacking threat remains a significant factor.
- Corners and BTTS Stats:
- Newcastle United have averaged 5.86 corners per game this season.
- Brighton & Hove Albion have averaged 5.71 corners per game.
- In terms of Both Teams To Score (BTTS) statistics, both teams have had BTTS in 71.43% of their matches this season, suggesting a high probability of both sides finding the net in this fixture.
These head-to-head and performance stats provide a solid foundation for predicting the outcome of this thrilling encounter, offering valuable insights for betting tips and fan analysis.
Newcastle United Vs Brighton & Hove Albion Last Match Result and Stats
| Performance Summary | Newcastle United | Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Shots Total | 18 | 15 |
| Shots Blocked | 6 | 7 |
| Shots Inside Box | 12 | 10 |
| Shots Outside Box | 6 | 5 |
| Passes Total | 567 | 452 |
| Accurate Passes | 485 | 378 |
| Pass Accuracy % | 85.54 | 83.63 |
| Total Attacks | 111 | 75 |
| Dangerous Attacks | 62 | 30 |
| Fouls | 9 | 16 |
| Corners | 8 | 4 |
| Offsides | 3 | 1 |
| Possession Time | 56 | 44 |
| Yellow Cards | 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Red Cards | 0 | 0 |
| Saves | 3 | 7 |
| Substitutions | 4 | 5 |
| Goal Kicks | 7 | 10 |
| Goal Attampts | 9 | 7 |
| Free Kicks | N/A | N/A |
| Throw Ins | 21 | 11 |
| Ball Safe | 74 | 91 |
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
| Penalties | 0 | 0 |
| Injuries | 0 | 2 |
Newcastle United Vs Brighton & Hove Albion Season Stats
| Performance Summary | Newcastle United | Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Total Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Home Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Away Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Total Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Home Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Away Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Total Lost | 1 | 1 |
| Home Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Away Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Total Goals For | 8 | 13 |
| Home Goals For | 4 | 7 |
| Away Goals For | 4 | 6 |
| Total Goals Against | 7 | 10 |
| Home Goals Against | 2 | 5 |
| Away Goals Against | 5 | 5 |
| Total Clean Sheet | 2 | 2 |
| Home Clean Sheet | 1 | 1 |
| Away Clean Sheet | 1 | 1 |
| Total Failed To Score | 1 | 1 |
| Home Failed To Score | 0 | 1 |
| Away Failed To Score | 1 | 0 |
| Total Av Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.86 |
| Home Av Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.75 |
| Away Av Goals Scored | 1 | 2 |
| Total Av Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.43 |
| Home Av Goals Conceded | 0.67 | 1.25 |
| Away Av Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.67 |
| Total 1st Goal Scored | 56m | 35m |
| Home 1st Goal Scored | 47m | 41m |
| Away 1st Goal Scored | 66m | 30m |
| Total 1st Goal Conceded | 28m | 31m |
| Home 1st Goal Conceded | 26m | 30m |
| Away 1st Goal Conceded | 35m | 32m |
| Goals Scoring Minutes | Newcastle United | Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|---|
| 0-15 | 0 (0%) | 1 (7.7%) |
| 15-30 | 0 (0%) | 1 (7.7%) |
| 30-45 | 2 (25%) | 4 (30.8%) |
| 45-60 | 2 (25%) | 4 (30.8%) |
| 60-75 | 1 (12.5%) | 1 (7.7%) |
| 75-90 | 3 (37.5%) | 2 (15.4%) |
| Goals Conceded Minutes | Newcastle United | Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|---|
| 0-15 | 1 (14.3%) | 1 (10%) |
| 15-30 | 1 (14.3%) | 3 (30%) |
| 30-45 | 3 (42.9%) | 4 (40%) |
| 45-60 | 1 (14.3%) | 1 (10%) |
| 60-75 | 0 (0%) | 1 (10%) |
| 75-90 | 1 (14.3%) | 0 (0%) |
| Combined Match Stats | Newcastle United | Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Attacks | 578 | 718 |
| Dangerous Attacks | 343 | 414 |
| Av Possession Percent | 47.71 | 59.00 |
| Fouls | 75 | 71 |
| Av Fouls Per Game | 10.71 | 10.14 |
| Offside | 15 | 7 |
| Red Cards | 1 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards | 17 | 15 |
| Shots Blocked | 25 | 37 |
| Shots Off Target | 34 | 40 |
| Av Shots Off Target | 4.86 | 5.71 |
| Shots On Target | 26 | 33 |
| Av Shots On Target | 3.71 | 4.71 |
| Total Corners | 41 | 40 |
| Av Corners | 5.86 | 5.71 |
| BTTS | 71.43 | 71.43 |
| Av Player Rating Per Match | 6.88 | 6.87 |
| Tackles | 117 | 115 |
| Total Match Goals Percentages | Newcastle United | Brighton & Hove Albion | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Away | Home | Away | |
| Over 0.5 | 100 | 75 | 75 | 100 |
| Over 1.5 | 66.67 | 75 | 75 | 100 |
| Over 2.5 | 33.33 | 50 | 75 | 66.67 |
| Over 3.5 | 0 | 25 | 50 | 33.33 |
| Over 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 33.33 |
| Over 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Under 0.5 | 0 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| Under 1.5 | 33.33 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| Under 2.5 | 66.67 | 50 | 25 | 33.33 |
| Under 3.5 | 100 | 75 | 50 | 66.67 |
| Under 4.5 | 100 | 100 | 75 | 66.67 |
| Under 5.5 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 66.67 |
Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction
Based on our advanced algorithm, Newcastle United are the strong favorites heading into this Premier League clash against Brighton & Hove Albion. Our model estimates a 64.46% probability for a Newcastle win, with the best odds currently at 6.5 at Bet365. Given Newcastle’s impressive home form, including a seven-game unbeaten streak at St. James’ Park, they look well-placed to secure a crucial victory in their push for European qualification.
A draw is also a possibility, with our prediction model giving a 26.16% chance of this outcome. The odds for a draw are currently 5 at Tonybet, making it a more conservative betting option for those anticipating a tightly contested match.
Brighton, on the other hand, have struggled on the road this season, winning just once in their last 12 away games. Our model assigns a 9.38% chance for a Brighton win, with generous odds of 15 at Bet365 for those willing to take a long shot on an upset. However, given their poor away form and Newcastle’s dominance at home, Brighton will likely find it difficult to claim all three points.
In summary, Newcastle United are clear favorites to win this fixture, with the possibility of a draw also worth considering based on the team’s recent performances and Brighton’s struggles away from home.