Turkey vs Montenegro Prediction, Stats, H2H, Odds & Betting tips

Nations League action kicks off in Samsun this week as hosts Turkey welcome Montenegro in their Group B4 clash. The home team, known as the Crescent-Stars, sit at the top of the group on goal difference and face the Brave Falcons, who are currently at the bottom of the table after two games. This match is pivotal for both teams: Turkey aims to consolidate their lead, while Montenegro seeks to revive their campaign. Check out our match prediction for this intriguing fixture below!

Under the guidance of head coach Vincenzo Montella, Turkey has been in impressive form. They reached the quarterfinals of Euro 2024, narrowly losing 2-1 to the Netherlands. In the Nations League, they started with a draw against Wales and followed up with a 3-1 home victory over Iceland. The home side has won three, drawn one, and lost just one of their last five games. Notably, they are unbeaten in their four previous games against Montenegro, securing two wins and two draws.

Montenegro, meanwhile, has had a challenging start to their Nations League journey. They were defeated 2-0 away to Iceland in their opening fixture and suffered a 2-1 loss at home to Wales in their second game. Under the management of Robert Prosinečki, the team has lost all of their last four matches. As a result, they sit at the bottom of Group B4, three points behind Iceland and four points adrift of Turkey. A defeat here could significantly diminish their chances of challenging for the top spot, but a win could put them back in contention in this evenly matched group.

In this article, we provide comprehensive Predictions, Stats, H2H, Odds & Betting Tips for the Turkey vs Montenegro clash. Our in-depth analysis covers key player insights, team form, and historical data to give you a thorough understanding of what to expect. Let’s dive into our preview and find out who is favored in this crucial matchup!

Turkey vs Montenegro Important H2H Stats

We preview the game at Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı, where Turkey will host Montenegro in a crucial Group B4 Nations League clash. After analyzing past head-to-head stats between the two teams, as well as their performances against other opponents, the mustwinteams.com supercomputer has made its predictions about the game, which we will indicate below.

Recent Meetings

• Last Match: The most recent encounter between Turkey and Montenegro was on November 16, 2021, with Montenegro at home, and Turkey securing a 2-1 victory.
• Head-to-Head Record: In their last 4 matches, Turkey leads with 2 wins, and there have been 2 draws. Turkey remains unbeaten against Montenegro, demonstrating a historical advantage in this fixture.

Key Players to Watch

• Turkey:
  • Top Assist Provider: Arda Güler has provided 1 assist this season, making him a key creative force in Turkey’s midfield. Montenegro will need to mark him closely to prevent goal-scoring opportunities.
  • Disciplinary Record: Kenan Yıldız has received 1 yellow card, the most in the team. His discipline will be important to avoid conceding dangerous set-pieces.
• Montenegro:
  • Top Scorer: Driton Camaj is Montenegro’s leading goal scorer this season with 1 goal. Turkey’s defense will need to keep him under control to prevent any breakthroughs.
  • Disciplinary Record: Stevan Jovetić has received 1 yellow card, making him a player to watch regarding disciplinary action.

Scoring and Conceding Patterns

• Turkey:
  • Most Likely to Score: Between the 0th and 15th minutes, having scored 33.3% of their goals during this period. This suggests that Turkey tends to start matches aggressively, seeking early advantages.
• Montenegro:
  • Most Likely to Concede: Between the 60th and 75th minutes, with 100% of goals against occurring in this timeframe. This indicates a potential vulnerability in the latter stages of the second half.

Possession Statistics

• Turkey: Averages 48.50% possession per match, indicating a balanced approach between attack and defense.
• Montenegro: Averages 54.50% possession per match, suggesting they prefer to control the game and maintain ball possession.

Corner Averages

• Turkey: Averages 3.00 corners per match, reflecting moderate offensive activity.
• Montenegro: Averages 8.00 corners per match, indicating a higher level of attacking play and pressure on the opponent’s defense.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Statistics

• Turkey: BTTS has occurred in 50% of their matches this season.
• Montenegro: Also has a BTTS rate of 50%, suggesting a balanced likelihood of matches where both teams score.

Betting Insights

If you are confident in your analysis and wish to place a bet, consider the following factors:

• Historical Advantage: Turkey remains unbeaten against Montenegro, with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 4 encounters. This could influence the outcome in favor of the home side.
• Goal Timings:
  • Turkey’s Early Impact: With Turkey most likely to score in the first 15 minutes, betting on Turkey to score early or leading at halftime might offer value.
  • Montenegro’s Vulnerability: Montenegro is most prone to conceding between the 60th and 75th minutes. Consider betting on Turkey to score in the second half or late in the match.
• Corners Market: Both teams have contrasting corner statistics. Montenegro averages 8.00 corners per match, while Turkey averages 3.00. Betting on over 9 corners in the game might be worthwhile.
• Both Teams to Score (BTTS): With both teams having a 50% BTTS rate, there’s a reasonable chance that both sides will find the net. This market could be appealing for bettors.

• Turkey’s Strengths: Playing at home and having a positive head-to-head record, Turkey is in a favorable position. Their tendency to score early could set the tone for the match, and maintaining discipline will be key.
• Montenegro’s Challenges: Montenegro needs to address their defensive lapses, especially in the second half. Their higher possession rate suggests they can control the game, but converting that into goals and securing a result will be crucial.

For those interested in placing a bet, be sure to check the pre-match and live odds in the Matchstat odds section, where you can also view live coverage of the match. Always remember to bet responsibly and consider all statistical insights before making your decision.

Turkey Vs Montenegro Last Match Result and Stats

Turkey Vs Montenegro Season Stats

Turkey vs Montenegro Prediction

Our prediction for the Turkey vs Montenegro match is: Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score – Yes.

Probability Breakdown

• Turkey Win
  • Probability: 64.84%
  • Best Odds: 1.35 at 1xbet
  • Analysis: Turkey is favored to win this match due to their strong form, home advantage, and positive head-to-head record against Montenegro.
• Draw
  • Probability: 20.02%
  • Best Odds: 6 at Bet365
  • Analysis: While less likely, a draw remains a possibility if Montenegro can tighten their defense and capitalize on counter-attacks.
• Montenegro Win
  • Probability: 15.14%
  • Best Odds: 10.1 at 1xbet
  • Analysis: Montenegro is the underdog but could surprise if they exploit Turkey’s defensive lapses and improve their own defensive record.

Reasons Behind the Prediction

• High Scoring Match Expected
  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS):
    • Both Turkey and Montenegro have a BTTS rate of 50% this season, indicating a reasonable likelihood of both teams finding the net.
    • Turkey has scored early in matches, particularly in the first 15 minutes, while Montenegro tends to concede in the second half.
  • Over 2.5 Goals:
    • Turkey’s matches often feature multiple goals, and with Montenegro’s defensive vulnerabilities (conceding in 100% of matches between the 60th and 75th minutes), over 2.5 goals is a strong possibility.
• Turkey’s Offensive Strengths
  • Key Players:
    • Arda Güler leads in assists and is instrumental in creating goal-scoring opportunities.
    • Turkey has a history of starting matches aggressively, aiming to secure an early lead.
  • Home Advantage:
    • Playing at Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı provides Turkey with strong home support, enhancing their performance.
• Montenegro’s Challenges
  • Defensive Weaknesses:
    • Montenegro has conceded goals in critical periods, particularly between the 60th and 75th minutes.
    • Their recent form shows four consecutive losses, indicating struggles in maintaining defensive solidity.
  • Motivation to Rebound:
    • Despite challenges, Montenegro may adopt an aggressive approach to revive their Nations League campaign, potentially leading to an open game with opportunities for both sides.

Betting Tips

• Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score – Yes
  • Recommendation: Combining these two outcomes offers better odds and aligns with the statistical likelihood of an open, high-scoring match.
  • Rationale: Both teams have shown tendencies to score and concede goals, making this a viable option for bettors seeking value.
• Turkey to Win
  • With a 64.84% chance of victory and favorable odds of 1.35 at 1xbet, betting on a Turkey win is a solid choice.
  • Recommendation: Suitable for those looking for a more conservative bet with a higher probability of success.
• Correct Score Betting
  • Considering the teams’ scoring patterns, a 2-1 or 3-1 win for Turkey is a plausible outcome.
  • Recommendation: For bettors willing to take on more risk for higher returns, correct score bets can be lucrative.

Betting Advice

• Shop for the Best Odds
  • Turkey Win: Best odds of 1.35 at 1xbet.
  • Draw: Best odds of 6 at Bet365.
  • Montenegro Win: Best odds of 10.1 at 1xbet.
  • Recommendation: Opening accounts with multiple bookmakers ensures you can capitalize on the best available odds, maximizing potential returns.
• Risk Management
  • Set a Betting Budget: Always gamble responsibly by wagering only what you can afford to lose.
  • Diversify Bets: Consider spreading your bets across different markets (e.g., match result, over/under goals, BTTS) to manage risk.
• Stay Informed
  • Team News: Monitor any last-minute injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes that could impact the match outcome.
  • Weather Conditions: Adverse weather can affect playing conditions and scoring opportunities.

Turkey enters this match as the favorite, bolstered by home advantage and a positive head-to-head record against Montenegro. Both teams have shown a propensity for matches with multiple goals and defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting that an open and high-scoring encounter is likely. Betting on Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score – Yes aligns with statistical trends and offers attractive odds for bettors.

Montenegro faces a critical juncture in their Nations League campaign. A loss could severely hamper their chances of advancing, so they may adopt an aggressive approach. This could further contribute to the likelihood of both teams scoring and the match exceeding 2.5 goals.

Note: All probabilities and odds are estimates based on available data and should be used as a guide. Always verify the latest information from reputable sources before placing any bets.