Hungary vs Netherlands Prediction, Stats, H2H, Odds & Betting tips - 10/11/2024

Hungary is set to face the Netherlands in a crucial UEFA Nations League encounter, aiming to turn around their faltering start to the 2024/25 season. The match will take place at home for the Magical Magyars, who currently sit at the bottom of Group A3, while the Oranje hold the second spot. This game presents an opportunity for Hungary to rectify their early setbacks and make a statement against a formidable opponent.

Historically, Hungary has struggled against the Netherlands, with their last victory occurring 40 years ago. The underdog status remains, especially considering their most recent meeting ended in a devastating 8-1 defeat for Hungary. The home fans might fear a repeat of past disappointments, particularly after a rough opening to their Nations League campaign. A heavy 5-0 loss to Germany on Match Day 1 highlighted defensive vulnerabilities, but a subsequent 0-0 draw with Bosnia-Herzegovina offered a glimmer of recovery.

The Netherlands, on the other hand, have enjoyed a strong run against Hungary and will be eager to extend their dominance. Their campaign began emphatically with a 5-2 victory over Bosnia-Herzegovina, showcasing their offensive prowess. In their latest outing, a second-half goal from Denzel Dumfries secured a 2-2 draw at home against Germany. This result keeps them joint top of the group alongside the Germans, both on four points.

However, the Dutch have areas to address, particularly in defense. Conceding twice in each of their last three matches and managing only two clean sheets in their past eight outings indicates potential weaknesses at the back. In the Nations League, they’ve conceded 11 goals in their last four matches, suggesting that Hungary might find opportunities to exploit.

This matchup promises an intriguing battle, with Hungary determined to overturn decades of underperformance against the Netherlands and the Dutch aiming to solidify their position at the top of Group A3. Fans can anticipate a contest filled with passion, as both teams vie for crucial points in their Nations League journey.

Hungary vs Netherlands Important H2H Stats

We preview the game at Puskás Aréna, where Hungary will host the Netherlands in a crucial UEFA Nations League match. After analyzing past head-to-head stats between the two teams, as well as their performances against other opponents, the mustwinteams.com supercomputer has made its predictions about the game, which we will indicate below.

Recent Meetings

Last Match: The last time these two teams played was on October 11, 2013, with the Netherlands at home, securing a commanding 8-1 victory over Hungary.
Head-to-Head Record: In their last 5 matches, the Netherlands leads with 5 wins, and there have been 0 draws. The Dutch have dominated this fixture historically, with their previous encounter ending in an emphatic 8-1 win.

Key Players to Watch

Hungary:
- Disciplinary Record: Zsolt Nagy has received 1 yellow card this season, the most in the team. His discipline will be crucial in defense, and the Netherlands may look to exploit any lapses.
Netherlands:
- Top Scorer: Tijani Reijnders is the Netherlands’ top scorer this season with 2 goals. Hungary’s defense will need to keep him under close surveillance to prevent scoring opportunities.

Scoring and Conceding Patterns

Netherlands:
- Most Likely to Concede: Between the 0th and 15th minutes, with 28.6% of goals against occurring in this timeframe. This suggests that the Dutch may start matches cautiously, offering Hungary a potential opportunity to capitalize early.

Possession Statistics

Hungary: Averages 54.00% possession per match, indicating a preference for maintaining control of the ball and building attacks patiently.
Netherlands: Averages 58.00% possession per match, showcasing their strong ability to dominate possession and dictate the tempo of the game.

Corner Averages

Hungary: Averages 7.50 corners per match, reflecting their capacity to create attacking opportunities and pressure the opposition’s defense.
Netherlands: Averages 8.50 corners per match, indicating an even higher level of offensive activity and threat from wide areas.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Statistics

Hungary: BTTS has occurred in 0% of their matches this season, suggesting they have either kept clean sheets or failed to score in their games.
Netherlands: BTTS rate is 100%, indicating that both they and their opponents have scored in all of their matches this season.

Betting Insights

If you are confident in your analysis and wish to place a bet, consider the following factors:

Historical Dominance: The Netherlands has a strong historical advantage over Hungary, winning all of their last five encounters, including a significant 8-1 victory in their most recent meeting. This trend may influence the outcome of the upcoming match.
Goal Timings: The Netherlands is most vulnerable defensively in the early stages of the match, particularly in the first 15 minutes. Hungary may aim to exploit this by starting aggressively and putting pressure on the Dutch defense.
BTTS Market: With the Netherlands having a 100% BTTS rate, betting on both teams to score could be a viable option. However, Hungary’s 0% BTTS rate suggests caution, as they may either keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Corners Market: Both teams have high average corner counts per match (Hungary with 7.50, Netherlands with 8.50), indicating a potentially high number of corners in the game. This could be an interesting market for bettors looking at over/under corner bets.
Possession Play: Both teams prefer to maintain possession, but the Netherlands has a slight edge. This could translate into more opportunities for the Dutch to create chances and control the game’s tempo.

Hungary’s Challenge: Facing a team they haven’t beaten in 40 years, Hungary will need to deliver a strong performance to overturn historical trends. Capitalizing on early opportunities and maintaining defensive solidity will be key.
Netherlands’ Strengths and Weaknesses: The Dutch have a potent attack, with players like Tijani Reijnders in form. However, their tendency to concede early goals is a vulnerability that Hungary might exploit.