Atletico Madrid is set to face off against Leganes in an exciting La Liga encounter at the Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano on Monday, October 21, with kick-off scheduled for 1:15 am AEDT. This match holds significant importance for both teams as they aim to secure crucial points in their respective campaigns.
In this article, we provide comprehensive Predictions, Stats, H2H, Odds & Betting Tips for the Atletico Madrid vs Leganes game. Our in-depth analysis delves into past head-to-head statistics, current form, and key player insights to give you a thorough understanding of what to expect. Let’s dive into our preview and find out who is favored in this intriguing matchup!
With Atletico Madrid looking to capitalize on their home advantage to bolster their position in the league, and Leganes eager to upset the hosts and climb up the standings, this fixture promises high-quality football and intense competition. Fans can anticipate tactical battles and standout performances as both teams showcase their skills on the field.
Atlético Madrid vs Leganés Important H2H Prediction Stats
Head-to-Head Overview
As we anticipate the clash at Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, analyzing past head-to-head encounters and current team performances provides valuable insights.
Recent Meetings
- Last Match: The most recent encounter between Atlético Madrid and Leganés was on January 26, 2020, ending in a 0-0 draw at Atlético Madrid’s home ground.
- Head-to-Head Record: In their last 9 matches, Atlético Madrid leads with 5 wins, while the teams have drawn 4 times.
League Standings
- Atlético Madrid: Currently in 3rd position in the domestic league, aiming to close the gap at the top.
- Leganés: [The user’s input does not specify Leganés’ current league position; additional information would be needed here.]
Key Players to Watch
- Atlético Madrid:
- Top Assist Provider: Antoine Griezmann leads the team with 4 assists this season, making him a crucial creative force.
- Leganés:
- Leading Goal Scorer: Juan Cruz has scored 3 goals, posing a threat to Atlético’s defense.
Disciplinary Records
- Atlético Madrid:
- Koke has accumulated 2 yellow cards, the highest in the team. His presence in midfield is vital, but he must manage his aggression.
- Leganés:
- Valentin Rosier has received 4 yellow cards, making him a player to watch regarding disciplinary action. Bettors interested in card markets should keep an eye on him.
Scoring and Conceding Patterns
- Atlético Madrid:
- Most Likely to Score: Between the 75th and 90th minutes, with 38.5% of their goals scored during this period, indicating a strong finish in matches.
- Leganés:
- Most Likely to Concede: Between the 60th and 75th minutes, with 40% of goals against occurring in this timeframe.
Possession Statistics
- Atlético Madrid: Averages 47.78% possession per match, reflecting a balanced approach that relies on efficient use of the ball.
- Leganés: Holds an average possession of 45.00%, suggesting they may focus on counter-attacking opportunities.
Corner Averages
- Atlético Madrid: Averages 3.89 corners per match, indicating moderate attacking pressure.
- Leganés: Averages 2.78 corners per match, which is relatively low and may reflect a more defensive setup.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Statistics
- Atlético Madrid: BTTS has occurred in 44.44% of their matches this season.
- Leganés: Also has a BTTS rate of 44.44%, suggesting that matches involving these teams are less likely to see both teams scoring.
Betting Insights
For those interested in betting on this match, the statistical trends offer valuable information:
- Match Outcome: Given Atlético Madrid’s home advantage and superior head-to-head record, they are favorites to win.
- Goal Timings: Atlético tends to score late, so consider betting on goals in the second half, particularly after the 75th minute.
- Card Markets: With players like Valentin Rosier and Koke having multiple bookings, there may be value in betting on yellow cards.
- Corners: The low average corners for both teams suggest that betting on under corners might be worthwhile.
If you’re confident in your analysis and wish to place a bet, be sure to check the pre-match and live odds in the Matchstat odds section, where live coverage of the match is also available.
Historical Head-to-Head Stats (Last 9 Matches)
- Atlético Madrid Wins: 5
- Leganés Wins: [Data not specified]
- Draws: 4
- Last Match Result: Ended in a 0-0 draw
Atlético Madrid Vs Leganés Last Match Result and Stats
| Performance Summary | Atlético Madrid | Leganés |
|---|---|---|
| Shots Total | 16 | 11 |
| Shots Blocked | 5 | 5 |
| Shots Inside Box | 7 | 3 |
| Shots Outside Box | 7 | 7 |
| Passes Total | 484 | 374 |
| Accurate Passes | 371 | 265 |
| Pass Accuracy % | 76.65 | 70.86 |
| Total Attacks | 122 | 123 |
| Dangerous Attacks | 57 | 54 |
| Fouls | 13 | 18 |
| Corners | 7 | 6 |
| Offsides | 1 | 1 |
| Possession Time | 55 | 45 |
| Yellow Cards | 1 | 6 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 1 |
| Yellow Red Cards | 0 | 1 |
| Saves | 4 | 3 |
| Substitutions | 3 | 3 |
| Goal Kicks | N/A | N/A |
| Goal Attampts | 8 | 5 |
| Free Kicks | N/A | N/A |
| Throw Ins | N/A | N/A |
| Ball Safe | 101 | 92 |
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Penalties | 0 | 0 |
| Injuries | 0 | 1 |
Atlético Madrid Vs Leganés Season Stats
| Performance Summary | Atlético Madrid | Leganés |
|---|---|---|
| Total Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Home Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Away Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Total Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Home Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Away Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Total Lost | 0 | 3 |
| Home Losses | 0 | 2 |
| Away Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Total Goals For | 13 | 5 |
| Home Goals For | 7 | 2 |
| Away Goals For | 6 | 3 |
| Total Goals Against | 5 | 9 |
| Home Goals Against | 1 | 4 |
| Away Goals Against | 4 | 5 |
| Total Clean Sheet | 5 | 2 |
| Home Clean Sheet | 3 | 1 |
| Away Clean Sheet | 2 | 1 |
| Total Failed To Score | 1 | 5 |
| Home Failed To Score | 1 | 3 |
| Away Failed To Score | 0 | 2 |
| Total Av Goals Scored | 1.44 | 0.56 |
| Home Av Goals Scored | 1.75 | 0.5 |
| Away Av Goals Scored | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Total Av Goals Conceded | 0.56 | 1 |
| Home Av Goals Conceded | 0.25 | 1 |
| Away Av Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 1 |
| Total 1st Goal Scored | 52m | 56m |
| Home 1st Goal Scored | 56m | 71m |
| Away 1st Goal Scored | 50m | 51m |
| Total 1st Goal Conceded | 50m | 61m |
| Home 1st Goal Conceded | 46m | 55m |
| Away 1st Goal Conceded | 64m | 66m |
| Goals Scoring Minutes | Atlético Madrid | Leganés |
|---|---|---|
| 0-15 | 1 (7.7%) | 0 (0%) |
| 15-30 | 1 (7.7%) | 1 (20%) |
| 30-45 | 3 (23.1%) | 0 (0%) |
| 45-60 | 3 (23.1%) | 1 (20%) |
| 60-75 | 0 (0%) | 2 (40%) |
| 75-90 | 5 (38.5%) | 1 (20%) |
| Goals Conceded Minutes | Atlético Madrid | Leganés |
|---|---|---|
| 0-15 | 0 (0%) | 1 (11.1%) |
| 15-30 | 1 (20%) | 0 (0%) |
| 30-45 | 2 (40%) | 1 (11.1%) |
| 45-60 | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
| 60-75 | 1 (20%) | 3 (33.3%) |
| 75-90 | 1 (20%) | 4 (44.4%) |
| Combined Match Stats | Atlético Madrid | Leganés |
|---|---|---|
| Attacks | 822 | 812 |
| Dangerous Attacks | 391 | 270 |
| Av Possession Percent | 47.78 | 45.00 |
| Fouls | 91 | 121 |
| Av Fouls Per Game | 10.11 | 13.44 |
| Offside | 18 | 25 |
| Red Cards | 1 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards | 13 | 19 |
| Shots Blocked | 29 | 18 |
| Shots Off Target | 38 | 44 |
| Av Shots Off Target | 4.22 | 4.89 |
| Shots On Target | 35 | 20 |
| Av Shots On Target | 3.89 | 2.22 |
| Total Corners | 35 | 25 |
| Av Corners | 3.89 | 2.78 |
| BTTS | 44.44 | 44.44 |
| Av Player Rating Per Match | 7.01 | 6.61 |
| Tackles | 137 | 166 |
| Total Match Goals Percentages | Atlético Madrid | Leganés | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Away | Home | Away | |
| Over 0.5 | 75 | 100 | 75 | 80 |
| Over 1.5 | 75 | 60 | 50 | 80 |
| Over 2.5 | 50 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| Over 3.5 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| Over 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Over 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Under 0.5 | 25 | 0 | 25 | 20 |
| Under 1.5 | 25 | 40 | 50 | 20 |
| Under 2.5 | 50 | 80 | 75 | 100 |
| Under 3.5 | 100 | 80 | 100 | 100 |
| Under 4.5 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| Under 5.5 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Atlético Madrid Vs Leganés Player Stats:
| Performance Summary | Atlético Madrid | Leganés |
|---|---|---|
| Top Scorer | Julián Álvarez(3) | Juan Cruz(3) |
| Top Assists | Antoine Griezmann(4) | Yvan Neyou Noupa(1) |
| Most Appearances | Koke(9) | Seydouba Cisse(9) |
| Most Mins Played | Jan Oblak(720) | Sergio González(810) |
| Most Cards | Koke(2) | Valentin Rosier(4) |
Atlético Madrid vs Leganés Prediction
Our proven predictive analytics model currently provides the following probabilities for the match outcome:
- Atlético Madrid: 66.5% chance of winning
- Leganés: 11.8% chance of winning
- Draw: 21.7% chance of happening
These figures indicate that Atlético Madrid is strongly favored to secure a victory in this fixture. Their higher league position, home advantage at the Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, and positive historical record against Leganés contribute to this optimistic outlook. With a 66.5% chance of winning, Atlético Madrid is expected to capitalize on their strengths and continue their pursuit of the top spots in La Liga.
Leganés, on the other hand, faces an uphill battle with an 11.8% chance of winning. Despite being the underdogs, they will aim to defy the odds by leveraging any opportunities that arise, particularly exploiting Atlético’s moments of vulnerability as indicated by their tendency to concede between the 60th and 75th minutes.
The probability of a draw stands at 21.7%, suggesting that while Atlético Madrid is the clear favorite, there is still a reasonable chance for Leganés to secure a point if they can maintain a solid defensive performance and capitalize on counter-attacks.
Key Factors Influencing the Prediction:
- Atlético Madrid’s Home Advantage: Playing at home significantly boosts their confidence and performance levels.
- Recent Form: Atlético’s position in the league and recent results contribute to their high probability of winning.
- Head-to-Head Record: Atlético Madrid leads in past encounters, having won 5 out of the last 9 matches against Leganés.
- Key Players: Atlético’s Antoine Griezmann, with his 4 assists, is a crucial playmaker, while Leganés’ Juan Cruz, with 3 goals, is their main offensive threat.
- Scoring Patterns: Atlético Madrid tends to score late in the game, particularly between the 75th and 90th minutes, which could be pivotal in determining the match outcome.